Built 2026-07-09 · gates as of 2026-07-09 ·
goal #1: don't lose money
Crypto GATED
$241.22
4 closed trades
Futures WATCH
$-922.80
21 closed trades
Stocks WATCH
$-395.05
9 closed trades
Review
22d
until 2026-07-31
Forward net P&L (after fees)
$241.22
Forward max drawdown
$32.12 / $500 limit
Forward trades
4
Daily runs logged
7
Go/no-go review
2026-07-31
Phase
2 — paper (no real money)
Markets desk — 33 markets scanned, 11 with live setups
Crypto (frozen forward test) — 5 markets
BTC/USD quiet
62,241.10
90d · ATR 3.5%/day · vol 26%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
ETH/USD quiet
1,742.03
90d · ATR 4.5%/day · vol 38%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
SOL/USD quiet
77.77
90d · ATR 5.5%/day · vol 47%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
XRP/USD quiet
1.09
90d · ATR 4.3%/day · vol 33%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
ADA/USD quiet
0.17
90d · ATR 6.6%/day · vol 69%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Futures (research) — 18 markets
E-mini S&P 500 SETUP
7,551.25
90d · ATR 1.5%/day · vol 15%/yr
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 7602.750000 / sell stop 7232.000000 (20-day channel)
WTI Crude Oil quiet
70.44
90d · ATR 5.5%/day · vol 40%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Natural Gas quiet
3.27
90d · ATR 4.1%/day · vol 36%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Gold quiet
4,145.30
90d · ATR 2.4%/day · vol 29%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Silver quiet
60.93
90d · ATR 3.7%/day · vol 52%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Copper SETUP
6.17
90d · ATR 1.8%/day · vol 24%/yr
The Anti short — Next session stop entry: 6.116500
30-Year Treasury Bond SETUP
111.66
90d · ATR 0.8%/day · vol 8%/yr
Turtle Soup Plus One long — Next session buy stop at 111.687500
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 114.656250 / sell stop 111.343750 (20-day channel)
10-Year Treasury Note quiet
109.33
90d · ATR 0.4%/day · vol 4%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Corn SETUP
442.50
90d · ATR 2.1%/day · vol 24%/yr
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 444.750000 / sell stop 398.250000 (20-day channel)
Soybeans SETUP
1,196.75
90d · ATR 1.6%/day · vol 20%/yr
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 1200.500000 / sell stop 1098.500000 (20-day channel)
Wheat quiet
609.25
90d · ATR 2.5%/day · vol 22%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Coffee quiet
313.60
90d · ATR 4.5%/day · vol 75%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Cotton SETUP
80.22
90d · ATR 2.1%/day · vol 30%/yr
Turtle Soup Plus One short — Next session sell stop at 77.959999
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 79.679998 / sell stop 70.650004 (20-day channel)
Sugar SETUP
15.12
90d · ATR 2.4%/day · vol 26%/yr
Connors RSI2 long — Buy at/near the close (15.120000)
Live Cattle quiet
237.77
90d · ATR 1.5%/day · vol 26%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Lean Hogs SETUP
99.70
90d · ATR 1.5%/day · vol 30%/yr
The Anti long — Next session stop entry: 99.950003
Turtle Soup Plus One short — Next session sell stop at 98.250000
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 99.950003 / sell stop 92.275003 (20-day channel)
Euro FX quiet
1.14
90d · ATR 0.5%/day · vol 5%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Japanese Yen SETUP
0.01
90d · ATR 0.4%/day · vol 5%/yr
ID/NR4 long — Next session OCO: buy stop 0.006185; sell stop 0.006169
Stocks (research) — 10 markets
TSLA quiet
394.06
90d · ATR 4.8%/day · vol 61%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
NVDA quiet
204.12
90d · ATR 3.2%/day · vol 36%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
MU quiet
948.80
90d · ATR 10.4%/day · vol 118%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
AMD SETUP
517.41
90d · ATR 7.3%/day · vol 82%/yr
Connors RSI2 long — Buy at/near the close (517.405029)
MSTR quiet
93.87
90d · ATR 10.0%/day · vol 95%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
COIN quiet
159.36
90d · ATR 6.6%/day · vol 61%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
PLTR quiet
132.22
90d · ATR 4.9%/day · vol 57%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
SMCI quiet
28.17
90d · ATR 10.4%/day · vol 151%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
MARA SETUP
12.02
90d · ATR 10.6%/day · vol 68%/yr
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 16.440000 / sell stop 11.580000 (20-day channel)
HOOD quiet
113.53
90d · ATR 6.3%/day · vol 66%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Forward equity (net of fees, since 2026-07-04)
2026-07-04 → 2026-07-08 · equity $241.22 · max drawdown $32.12 of $500 kill-switch ($467.88 of room left) · red shading = drawdown from peak
Trade blotter — every closed forward trade (4)
| Closed | Market | Strategy | Side | Entry → Exit | Why exited | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | SOL | ID/NR4 | short | 80.29 → 77.77 | time_exit | $86.08 (+0.86R) |
| 2026-07-08 | ETH | ID/NR4 | short | 1756.39 → 1742.03 | time_exit | $9.72 (+0.10R) |
| 2026-07-08 | ADA | ID/NR4 | short | 0.185117 → 0.166937 | time_exit | $177.53 (+1.78R) |
| 2026-07-04 | ADA | Turtle Soup | short | 0.189778 → 0.191998 | range_expansion_exit | $-32.12 (-0.32R) |
The book's rule (Ch 23): write down every trade. This ledger is the go/no-go evidence — after fees, nothing hidden.
Next-session orders (2026-07-09)
No orders for the next session — no pattern fired. Standing aside is a position.
Other platforms — futures & stocks (research, observational)
Same strategies (plus RSI2 and Turtle Trend) run forward on 18 futures and 10 volatile stocks. Not gated, not real money — this is where you watch "how much could an individual get" across every market, honestly, net of a conservative 0.26%/side fee. It fills in as trades close.
Futures (research, observational) — 21 trades, net $-922.80
2026-07-06 → 2026-07-08 · equity $-922.80 · max drawdown $1,189.71 (observational — no kill-switch) · red shading = drawdown from peak
| Strategy | Trades | Win % | Net P&L | Fee drag |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connors RSI2 | 2 | 0% | $-16.05 | — |
| Historical Volatility Crabel | 5 | 80% | $-304.17 | — |
| ID/NR4 | 4 | 25% | $-585.44 | — |
| Turtle Soup | 3 | 0% | $-224.29 | — |
| Turtle Trend | 7 | 57% | $207.15 | 0% |
Stocks (research, observational) — 9 trades, net $-395.05
2026-07-07 → 2026-07-08 · equity $-395.05 · max drawdown $395.05 (observational — no kill-switch) · red shading = drawdown from peak
| Strategy | Trades | Win % | Net P&L | Fee drag |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connors RSI2 | 1 | 0% | $-3.37 | — |
| ID/NR4 | 5 | 0% | $-222.68 | — |
| Turtle Soup | 1 | 0% | $-134.15 | — |
| Turtle Trend | 2 | 0% | $-34.86 | — |
TradingView live history
loading
open live log
| Received | Symbol | Strategy | Side | Action | Trigger | Stop | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading live webhook signals... | |||||||
This is the same Cloudflare Worker used by TradingView webhooks.
Capital-preservation gates
| Gate | Status | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| G0 hard: gated code unchanged since freeze | PASS | dfd8f9f15efe |
| G0b hard: newest gated bar <= 2d old | PASS | 1d (BTC) |
| G1 hard: forward max drawdown <= $500 | PASS | $32.12 |
| G2 hard: worst single trade loss <= $150 | PASS | $-32.12 |
| G3 review: >= 18 daily runs | pending | 7 |
| G4 review: net pnl after fees >= $0 | PASS | $241.22 |
| G5 review: trade count in (10, 80) | pending | 4 |
Hard gates stop the project immediately. Review gates decide go/no-go for real money on 2026-07-31. Thresholds only tighten.
Strategy P&L — forward period only
| Strategy | Trades | Win % | Net P&L | Fee drag |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ID/NR4 | 3 | 100% | $273.33 | 14% |
| Turtle Soup | 1 | 0% | $-32.12 | — |
Fee drag = fees paid ÷ gross profit, on winning strategies only. A strategy losing overall shows "—" here — it's already failing gate G4 on its own.
Daily snapshots (rolling 720-day backtest, last 7 runs)
| Date | Trades | Total P&L | Win % | PF | Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | 879 | $38,167 | 28.2% | 2.440922 | $-2,665 |
| 2026-07-08 | 877 | $37,962 | 28.1% | 2.433154 | $-2,665 |
| 2026-07-07 | 879 | $37,662 | 28.0% | 2.411188 | $-2,665 |
| 2026-07-06 | 879 | $38,295 | 28.0% | 2.43491 | $-2,665 |
| 2026-07-05 | 881 | $38,353 | 28.0% | 2.437084 | $-2,665 |
| 2026-07-04 | 764 | $49,892 | 32.3% | 4.333695 | $-1,665 |
| 2026-07-03 | 764 | $51,234 | 32.5% | 4.425153 | $-1,660 |
Whole-history context, not forward performance — the KPIs above are the truth.
Live trading (Phase 3 — locked)
Real-money controls appear here only after all gates PASS at review. The broker adapter ships with fixed kill switches: $100 risk/trade, max 2 positions, 48h halt at −3R day, full stop at 10R drawdown. Until then this system trades paper only — by design.