Built 2026-07-04 · gates as of 2026-07-04 ·
goal #1: don't lose money
Forward net P&L (after fees)
$0.00
Forward max drawdown
$0.00 / $500 limit
Forward trades
0
Daily runs logged
2
Go/no-go review
2026-07-31
Phase
2 — paper (no real money)
Markets desk — 33 markets scanned, 14 with live setups
Crypto (frozen forward test) — 5 markets
BTC/USD quiet
62,546.80
90d · ATR 3.5%/day · vol 27%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
ETH/USD quiet
1,757.04
90d · ATR 4.7%/day · vol 41%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
SOL/USD SETUP
82.29
90d · ATR 5.4%/day · vol 49%/yr
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 83.140000 / sell stop 63.710000 (20-day channel)
XRP/USD quiet
1.13
90d · ATR 4.4%/day · vol 37%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
ADA/USD quiet
0.18
90d · ATR 5.5%/day · vol 62%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Futures (research) — 18 markets
E-mini S&P 500 SETUP
7,557.00
90d · ATR 1.5%/day · vol 14%/yr
ID/NR4 long — Next session OCO: buy stop 7565.500000; sell stop 7523.500000
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 7599.500000 / sell stop 7232.000000 (20-day channel)
WTI Crude Oil SETUP
68.78
90d · ATR 5.7%/day · vol 39%/yr
Historical Volatility Crabel long — Next session OCO: buy stop 69.270002; sell stop 68.070002
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 95.480001 / sell stop 67.030001 (20-day channel)
Natural Gas quiet
3.24
90d · ATR 4.1%/day · vol 37%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Gold quiet
4,187.30
90d · ATR 2.4%/day · vol 30%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Silver SETUP
62.81
90d · ATR 3.7%/day · vol 53%/yr
Historical Volatility Crabel long — Next session OCO: buy stop 63.354998; sell stop 61.379998
Copper quiet
6.22
90d · ATR 1.8%/day · vol 25%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
30-Year Treasury Bond SETUP
112.31
90d · ATR 0.7%/day · vol 8%/yr
ID/NR4 long — Next session OCO: buy stop 112.781250; sell stop 112.218750
10-Year Treasury Note SETUP
109.55
90d · ATR 0.4%/day · vol 4%/yr
ID/NR4 long — Next session OCO: buy stop 109.765625; sell stop 109.500000
Corn quiet
425.00
90d · ATR 2.1%/day · vol 22%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Soybeans quiet
1,131.75
90d · ATR 1.4%/day · vol 12%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Wheat quiet
590.50
90d · ATR 2.6%/day · vol 21%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Coffee SETUP
315.65
90d · ATR 3.3%/day · vol 37%/yr
ID/NR4 long — Next session OCO: buy stop 315.699994; sell stop 315.599994
Cotton quiet
72.57
90d · ATR 2.3%/day · vol 26%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Sugar quiet
14.85
90d · ATR 2.4%/day · vol 25%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Live Cattle SETUP
239.23
90d · ATR 1.5%/day · vol 26%/yr
Connors RSI2 long — Buy at/near the close (239.225006)
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 258.275000 / sell stop 238.900003 (20-day channel)
Lean Hogs quiet
93.85
90d · ATR 1.3%/day · vol 19%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Euro FX quiet
1.15
90d · ATR 0.5%/day · vol 5%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Japanese Yen quiet
0.01
90d · ATR 0.4%/day · vol 5%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Stocks (research) — 10 markets
TSLA quiet
393.45
90d · ATR 5.3%/day · vol 62%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
NVDA SETUP
194.83
90d · ATR 3.6%/day · vol 40%/yr
Connors RSI2 long — Buy at/near the close (194.830002)
MU SETUP
975.56
90d · ATR 11.0%/day · vol 133%/yr
Connors RSI2 long — Buy at/near the close (975.559998)
AMD SETUP
517.82
90d · ATR 7.5%/day · vol 88%/yr
Connors RSI2 long — Buy at/near the close (517.820007)
MSTR quiet
100.77
90d · ATR 10.0%/day · vol 103%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
COIN quiet
165.48
90d · ATR 6.8%/day · vol 70%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
PLTR quiet
129.30
90d · ATR 4.9%/day · vol 59%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
SMCI SETUP
27.22
90d · ATR 12.9%/day · vol 155%/yr
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 47.850000 / sell stop 26.690001 (20-day channel)
MARA SETUP
12.40
90d · ATR 11.3%/day · vol 86%/yr
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 16.440000 / sell stop 11.830000 (20-day channel)
HOOD SETUP
112.73
90d · ATR 6.5%/day · vol 70%/yr
Turtle Soup Plus One short — Next session sell stop at 112.500000
Forward equity (net of fees, since 2026-07-04)
No closed forward trades yet — curve starts with the first fill.
Trade blotter — every closed forward trade (0)
| Closed | Market | Strategy | Side | Entry → Exit | Why exited | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No closed forward trades yet. | ||||||
The book's rule (Ch 23): write down every trade. This ledger is the go/no-go evidence — after fees, nothing hidden.
Next-session orders (2026-07-04)
No orders for the next session — no pattern fired. Standing aside is a position.
TradingView live history
loading
open live log
| Received | Symbol | Strategy | Side | Action | Trigger | Stop | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading live webhook signals... | |||||||
This is the same Cloudflare Worker used by TradingView webhooks.
Capital-preservation gates
| Gate | Status | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| G1 hard: forward max drawdown <= $500 | PASS | $0.00 |
| G2 hard: worst single trade loss <= $150 | PASS | $0.00 |
| G3 review: >= 18 daily runs | pending | 2 |
| G4 review: net pnl after fees >= $0 | PASS | $0.00 |
| G5 review: trade count in (10, 80) | pending | 0 |
Hard gates stop the project immediately. Review gates decide go/no-go for real money on 2026-07-31. Thresholds only tighten.
Strategy P&L — forward period only
| Strategy | Trades | Win % | Net P&L | Fee drag |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No forward trades yet. | ||||
Fee drag = fees paid ÷ gross profit, on winning strategies only. A strategy losing overall shows "—" here — it's already failing gate G4 on its own.
Daily snapshots (rolling 720-day backtest, last 2 runs)
| Date | Trades | Total P&L | Win % | PF | Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | 764 | $49,892 | 32.3% | 4.333695 | $-1,665 |
| 2026-07-03 | 764 | $51,234 | 32.5% | 4.425153 | $-1,660 |
Whole-history context, not forward performance — the KPIs above are the truth.
Live trading (Phase 3 — locked)
Real-money controls appear here only after all gates PASS at review. The broker adapter ships with fixed kill switches: $100 risk/trade, max 2 positions, 48h halt at −3R day, full stop at 10R drawdown. Until then this system trades paper only — by design.