Built 2026-07-07 · gates as of 2026-07-07 ·
goal #1: don't lose money
Crypto GATED
$-31.02
2 closed trades
Futures WATCH
$-255.16
5 closed trades
Stocks WATCH
$0.00
0 closed trades
Review
24d
until 2026-07-31
Forward net P&L (after fees)
$-31.02
Forward max drawdown
$32.12 / $500 limit
Forward trades
2
Daily runs logged
5
Go/no-go review
2026-07-31
Phase
2 — paper (no real money)
Markets desk — 33 markets scanned, 13 with live setups
Crypto (frozen forward test) — 5 markets
BTC/USD quiet
64,005.10
90d · ATR 3.4%/day · vol 27%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
ETH/USD SETUP
1,798.55
90d · ATR 4.4%/day · vol 38%/yr
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 1834.740000 / sell stop 1509.990000 (20-day channel)
SOL/USD SETUP
81.90
90d · ATR 5.2%/day · vol 46%/yr
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 83.900000 / sell stop 63.710000 (20-day channel)
XRP/USD quiet
1.14
90d · ATR 4.1%/day · vol 33%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
ADA/USD quiet
0.18
90d · ATR 5.8%/day · vol 64%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Futures (research) — 18 markets
E-mini S&P 500 SETUP
7,528.25
90d · ATR 1.7%/day · vol 17%/yr
Connors RSI2 long — Buy at/near the close (7528.250000)
WTI Crude Oil SETUP
68.69
90d · ATR 5.9%/day · vol 38%/yr
Historical Volatility Crabel long — Next session OCO: buy stop 68.810003; sell stop 67.030001
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 95.920004 / sell stop 67.030001 (20-day channel)
Natural Gas quiet
3.20
90d · ATR 4.3%/day · vol 38%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Gold quiet
4,112.70
90d · ATR 2.5%/day · vol 30%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Silver quiet
60.64
90d · ATR 4.1%/day · vol 55%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Copper SETUP
6.11
90d · ATR 1.9%/day · vol 28%/yr
Connors RSI2 long — Buy at/near the close (6.114500)
30-Year Treasury Bond quiet
112.44
90d · ATR 0.8%/day · vol 8%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
10-Year Treasury Note quiet
109.58
90d · ATR 0.5%/day · vol 5%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Corn quiet
425.00
90d · ATR 2.1%/day · vol 22%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Soybeans quiet
1,131.75
90d · ATR 1.4%/day · vol 12%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Wheat quiet
590.50
90d · ATR 2.6%/day · vol 21%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Coffee quiet
347.30
90d · ATR 3.7%/day · vol 46%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Cotton SETUP
78.28
90d · ATR 2.4%/day · vol 37%/yr
Turtle Soup Plus One short — Next session sell stop at 77.959999
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 78.459997 / sell stop 70.650004 (20-day channel)
Sugar SETUP
15.16
90d · ATR 2.4%/day · vol 25%/yr
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 15.260000 / sell stop 13.250000 (20-day channel)
Live Cattle SETUP
239.38
90d · ATR 1.5%/day · vol 26%/yr
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 258.275000 / sell stop 238.275003 (20-day channel)
Lean Hogs SETUP
98.55
90d · ATR 1.5%/day · vol 26%/yr
Turtle Soup Plus One short — Next session sell stop at 98.250000
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 99.050002 / sell stop 92.275003 (20-day channel)
Euro FX quiet
1.14
90d · ATR 0.6%/day · vol 6%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Japanese Yen quiet
0.01
90d · ATR 0.4%/day · vol 5%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
Stocks (research) — 10 markets
TSLA quiet
419.77
90d · ATR 4.9%/day · vol 62%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
NVDA SETUP
195.55
90d · ATR 3.3%/day · vol 34%/yr
ID/NR4 long — Next session OCO: buy stop 197.560003; sell stop 193.990000
MU SETUP
984.75
90d · ATR 10.4%/day · vol 122%/yr
ID/NR4 long — Next session OCO: buy stop 1019.010000; sell stop 980.839976
AMD quiet
552.05
90d · ATR 7.0%/day · vol 80%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
MSTR quiet
100.77
90d · ATR 9.8%/day · vol 100%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
COIN quiet
168.87
90d · ATR 6.5%/day · vol 64%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
PLTR quiet
132.54
90d · ATR 4.8%/day · vol 58%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
SMCI SETUP
27.19
90d · ATR 12.0%/day · vol 151%/yr
ID/NR4 long — Next session OCO: buy stop 27.749201; sell stop 26.730000
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 45.269998 / sell stop 26.690001 (20-day channel)
MARA quiet
12.95
90d · ATR 10.5%/day · vol 76%/yr
No setup — stand aside.
HOOD SETUP
117.55
90d · ATR 6.2%/day · vol 64%/yr
Turtle Trend long — Buy stop 120.060003 / sell stop 78.920000 (20-day channel)
Forward equity (net of fees, since 2026-07-04)
2026-07-04 → 2026-07-06 · equity $-31.02 · max drawdown $32.12 of $500 kill-switch ($467.88 of room left) · red shading = drawdown from peak
Trade blotter — every closed forward trade (2)
| Closed | Market | Strategy | Side | Entry → Exit | Why exited | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | ADA | ID/NR4 | short | 0.185117 → 0.18405 | time_exit | $1.10 (+0.01R) |
| 2026-07-04 | ADA | Turtle Soup | short | 0.189778 → 0.191998 | range_expansion_exit | $-32.12 (-0.32R) |
The book's rule (Ch 23): write down every trade. This ledger is the go/no-go evidence — after fees, nothing hidden.
Next-session orders (2026-07-07)
No orders for the next session — no pattern fired. Standing aside is a position.
Other platforms — futures & stocks (research, observational)
Same strategies (plus RSI2 and Turtle Trend) run forward on 18 futures and 10 volatile stocks. Not gated, not real money — this is where you watch "how much could an individual get" across every market, honestly, net of a conservative 0.26%/side fee. It fills in as trades close.
Futures (research, observational) — 5 trades, net $-255.16
2026-07-06 → 2026-07-06 · equity $-255.16 · max drawdown $255.16 (observational — no kill-switch) · red shading = drawdown from peak
| Strategy | Trades | Win % | Net P&L | Fee drag |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ID/NR4 | 1 | 0% | $-104.38 | — |
| Turtle Soup | 1 | 0% | $-68.56 | — |
| Turtle Trend | 3 | 67% | $-82.22 | — |
Stocks (research, observational) — 0 trades, net $0.00
No closed forward trades yet — curve starts with the first fill.
| Strategy | Trades | Win % | Net P&L | Fee drag |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No closed trades yet — fills accumulate daily. | ||||
TradingView live history
loading
open live log
| Received | Symbol | Strategy | Side | Action | Trigger | Stop | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading live webhook signals... | |||||||
This is the same Cloudflare Worker used by TradingView webhooks.
Capital-preservation gates
| Gate | Status | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| G1 hard: forward max drawdown <= $500 | PASS | $32.12 |
| G2 hard: worst single trade loss <= $150 | PASS | $-32.12 |
| G3 review: >= 18 daily runs | pending | 5 |
| G4 review: net pnl after fees >= $0 | pending | $-31.02 |
| G5 review: trade count in (10, 80) | pending | 2 |
Hard gates stop the project immediately. Review gates decide go/no-go for real money on 2026-07-31. Thresholds only tighten.
Strategy P&L — forward period only
| Strategy | Trades | Win % | Net P&L | Fee drag |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ID/NR4 | 1 | 100% | $1.10 | 90% |
| Turtle Soup | 1 | 0% | $-32.12 | — |
Fee drag = fees paid ÷ gross profit, on winning strategies only. A strategy losing overall shows "—" here — it's already failing gate G4 on its own.
Daily snapshots (rolling 720-day backtest, last 5 runs)
| Date | Trades | Total P&L | Win % | PF | Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | 879 | $37,662 | 28.0% | 2.411188 | $-2,665 |
| 2026-07-06 | 879 | $38,295 | 28.0% | 2.43491 | $-2,665 |
| 2026-07-05 | 881 | $38,353 | 28.0% | 2.437084 | $-2,665 |
| 2026-07-04 | 764 | $49,892 | 32.3% | 4.333695 | $-1,665 |
| 2026-07-03 | 764 | $51,234 | 32.5% | 4.425153 | $-1,660 |
Whole-history context, not forward performance — the KPIs above are the truth.
Live trading (Phase 3 — locked)
Real-money controls appear here only after all gates PASS at review. The broker adapter ships with fixed kill switches: $100 risk/trade, max 2 positions, 48h halt at −3R day, full stop at 10R drawdown. Until then this system trades paper only — by design.